Sauli Niinistö (cons), the speaker of Parliament, would win the 2012 presidential election in the first round with about 56 per cent of the vote, the Finnish Broadcasting Company (YLE) quoted a Taloustutkimus poll as indicating on Thursday.
The poll puts Olli Rehn (centre), a European commissioner, a distant second with 12 per cent, followed by Timo Soini, the True Finns leader, with 11 per cent, and by Eero Heinäluoma, the Social Democrats Parliament group leader, with seven per cent.
YLE said one in five respondents had been unable to name a preference from a list of potential candidates.
Commissioned by the public broadcaster, market research company Taloustutkimus interviewed 1,529 people last month. The margin of error was stated as 1.7 percentage points.
The presidential election is to be held in January 2012.